The future of artificial intelligence: Where will the latest innovations take us?
For years, all of us have relied on a certain level of artificial intelligence. Streaming services and social media develop algorithms to suggest content related to what you already like. Businesses use AI to analyze data, predict patterns or automate routine processes. Manufacturers program robots to do the repetitive tasks needed to create cars and other products.
The rise of generative AI, which can create new content, has accelerated both business investments and greater interest for society at large. Rather than just sorting preexisting information, OpenAI’s ChatGPT, Google’s DeepMind and other contenders can generate new text, images and video based on written prompts.
Researchers at the School of Systems Science and Industrial Engineering are examining AI from a variety of angles — the best ways to implement it, what we’re getting out of it and how to improve it.
A new landscape for this ’boom’
Carlos Gershenson-Garcia, a SUNY Empire Innovation Professor, has studied AI, artificial life and complex systems for the past two decades.
When surveying the current “AI boom,” he steps back for a moment and offers some historical perspective: “There always has been this tendency to think that breakthroughs are closer than they really are. People get disappointed and research funding stops, then it takes a decade to start up again. That creates what are called ‘AI winters.’”
He points to frustrations with machine translation and early artificial neural networks in the 1960s, and the failure of so-called “expert systems” — meant to emulate the decision-making ability of human experts — to deliver on promised advances in the 1990s.
“The big difference is that today the largest companies are IT companies, when in the ’60s and ’90s they were oil companies or banks, and then car companies. All of it was still industrial,” he says. “Today, all the richest companies are processing information.”
With breakthroughs in large language models such as ChatGPT, some futurists have speculated that AI can do the work of secretaries or law clerks, but Gershenson-Garcia sees that prediction as premature.
“In some cases, because this technology will simplify processes, you will be able to do the same thing with fewer people assisted by computers,” he says. “There will be very few cases where you will be able to take the humans out of the loop. There will be many more cases where you cannot get rid of any humans in the loop.”
